{"id":1591,"date":"2020-11-27T12:37:24","date_gmt":"2020-11-27T12:37:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sites.manchester.ac.uk\/covid19-national-project\/?page_id=1591"},"modified":"2025-05-28T16:08:19","modified_gmt":"2025-05-28T15:08:19","slug":"approaches-to-evaluate-environmental-transmission-mechanisms-and-controls","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/sites.manchester.ac.uk\/covid19-national-project\/research-themes\/approaches-to-evaluate-environmental-transmission-mechanisms-and-controls\/","title":{"rendered":"Transmission modelling"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>[et_pb_section bb_built=&#8221;1&#8243; admin_label=&#8221;section&#8221; fullwidth=&#8221;on&#8221; next_background_color=&#8221;#000000&#8243; global_module=&#8221;322&#8243;][et_pb_fullwidth_menu global_parent=&#8221;322&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;3.0.106&#8243; menu_id=&#8221;7&#8243; submenu_direction=&#8221;downwards&#8221; fullwidth_menu=&#8221;off&#8221; background_layout=&#8221;dark&#8221; module_class=&#8221;main-navigation&#8221; \/][\/et_pb_section][et_pb_section bb_built=&#8221;1&#8243; module_class=&#8221;header-image-section&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;3.0.74&#8243; custom_padding=&#8221;0px||0px|&#8221; custom_css_main_element=&#8221;padding-top:0px&#8221; transparent_background=&#8221;off&#8221; prev_background_color=&#8221;#000000&#8243; next_background_color=&#8221;#000000&#8243;][et_pb_row custom_padding=&#8221;||0px|&#8221; custom_margin=&#8221;||0px|&#8221; parallax_method_1=&#8221;off&#8221; module_class=&#8221;header-image&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;3.0.47&#8243; background_size=&#8221;initial&#8221; background_position=&#8221;top_left&#8221; background_repeat=&#8221;repeat&#8221;][et_pb_column type=&#8221;4_4&#8243;][et_pb_image admin_label=&#8221;Banner Image&#8221; src=&#8221;https:\/\/sites.manchester.ac.uk\/covid19-national-project\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/276\/2021\/07\/network-of-people-banner.jpg&#8221; show_bottom_space=&#8221;off&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;3.17.6&#8243; border_color_all=&#8221;#ffffff&#8221; custom_margin=&#8221;0px|||&#8221; animation_direction=&#8221;left&#8221; use_border_color=&#8221;off&#8221;]<\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_image][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][\/et_pb_section][et_pb_section bb_built=&#8221;1&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;3.0.74&#8243; custom_padding=&#8221;||0px|&#8221; transparent_background=&#8221;off&#8221; prev_background_color=&#8221;#000000&#8243; next_background_color=&#8221;#000000&#8243;][et_pb_row custom_padding=&#8221;||0px|&#8221; custom_margin=&#8221;||0px|&#8221; parallax_method_1=&#8221;off&#8221; module_class=&#8221;breadcrumbs-row&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;3.0.47&#8243; background_size=&#8221;initial&#8221; background_position=&#8221;top_left&#8221; background_repeat=&#8221;repeat&#8221;][et_pb_column type=&#8221;4_4&#8243;][et_pb_text admin_label=&#8221;Breadcrumbs &#8211; do not delete&#8221; module_class=&#8221;breadcrumbs&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;3.10.1&#8243; background_size=&#8221;initial&#8221; background_position=&#8221;top_left&#8221; background_repeat=&#8221;repeat&#8221; module_alignment=&#8221;left&#8221; custom_css_main_element=&#8221;border-bottom: 1px solid #ececed;&#8221; use_border_color=&#8221;off&#8221;]<\/p>\n<span><span><a href=\"https:\/\/sites.manchester.ac.uk\/covid19-national-project\/\">PROTECT COVID-19 National Core Study<\/a><\/span><\/span>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][\/et_pb_section][et_pb_section bb_built=&#8221;1&#8243; use_custom_gutter=&#8221;on&#8221; gutter_width=&#8221;2&#8243; specialty=&#8221;on&#8221; parallax_method_1=&#8221;off&#8221; parallax_method_2=&#8221;off&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;3.0.74&#8243; transparent_background=&#8221;off&#8221; prev_background_color=&#8221;#000000&#8243; next_background_color=&#8221;#1d1d1d&#8221;][et_pb_column type=&#8221;1_3&#8243;][et_pb_sidebar admin_label=&#8221;Left Nav Sidebar&#8221; area=&#8221;et_pb_widget_area_1&#8243; show_border=&#8221;off&#8221; module_id=&#8221;left-nav-menu&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;3.12.1&#8243;]<\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_sidebar][\/et_pb_column][et_pb_column type=&#8221;2_3&#8243; specialty_columns=&#8221;2&#8243;][et_pb_row_inner admin_label=&#8221;Row&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;3.0.47&#8243;][et_pb_column_inner type=&#8221;4_4&#8243; saved_specialty_column_type=&#8221;2_3&#8243;][et_pb_text admin_label=&#8221;Text: Theme 2&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;3.17.6&#8243;]<\/p>\n<h1>Theme 2: Transmission modelling<\/h1>\n<p class=\"subHeading\">Theme 2 is applying a range of cutting-edge modelling and experimental approaches to address the key research questions of the PROTECT study on how the physical environment and human behaviour affect transmission of the COVID-19 virus, how best to control it, and what it really means to be \u2018COVID secure\u2019.<\/p>\n<p>The mathematical models being developed simulate, at one end of the scale, how microscopic virus particles physically move and spread, and at the other, how much transmission and infection is likely to occur in different buildings, workplaces, and localities, with and without different control measures.<\/p>\n<p>In order to make these calculations, the models draw on data from experiments on how the virus is emitted, survives, and is transmitted \u2013 via surfaces, person-to person and in the air \u2013 as well as studies of how buildings work and the way people behave and interact within them. This data is collected within Theme 2 itself, as well as being fed in from the other PROTECT research themes.<\/p>\n<h2>Theme team<\/h2>\n<p><strong>Theme lead:<\/strong> Professor Cath Noakes, University of Leeds<\/p>\n<p><strong>Other partners:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Health and Safety Executive<\/li>\n<li>UK Health Security Agency<\/li>\n<li>Defence Science and Technology Laboratory<\/li>\n<li>Institute of Occupational Medicine<\/li>\n<li>Imperial College London<\/li>\n<li>University of Manchester<\/li>\n<li>University of Leicester<\/li>\n<li>University of Cambridge<\/li>\n<li>University of Strathclyde<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Theme 2 projects<\/h2>\n<p>Find out more about individual research projects taking place within the transmission modelling theme.<\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_code admin_label=&#8221;Promo Box: Droplet modelling&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;3.17.6&#8243;]<a href='https:\/\/sites.manchester.ac.uk\/covid19-national-project\/research-themes\/approaches-to-evaluate-environmental-transmission-mechanisms-and-controls\/droplet-modelling-understanding-the-physics-of-dispersal\/'><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><\/p>\n<div class=\"overlay promo_box\"><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <img decoding=\"async\" class=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/sites.manchester.ac.uk\/covid19-national-project\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/276\/2022\/01\/droplet-dispersal.jpg\"><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><figcaption class=\"promo_caption\"><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <\/p>\n<h2>Droplet modelling<\/h2>\n<p><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <\/figcaption><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <\/div>\n<p><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!\u2013- [et_pb_br_holder] -\u2013><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <pee>This project uses computer modelling to understanding the physics of dispersal.<\/pee><\/a>[\/et_pb_code][et_pb_text admin_label=&#8221;Spacing only&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;3.17.6&#8243;]<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_code admin_label=&#8221;Promo Box: Agent-based modelling of workplace transmission&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;3.17.6&#8243;]<a href='https:\/\/sites.manchester.ac.uk\/covid19-national-project\/research-themes\/approaches-to-evaluate-environmental-transmission-mechanisms-and-controls\/agent-based-modelling-of-workplace-transmission\/'><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><\/p>\n<div class=\"overlay promo_box\"><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <img decoding=\"async\" class=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/sites.manchester.ac.uk\/covid19-national-project\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/276\/2022\/01\/contact-tracing.jpg\"><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><figcaption class=\"promo_caption\"><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <\/p>\n<h2>Agent-based modelling of workplace transmission<\/h2>\n<p><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <\/figcaption><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <\/div>\n<p><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!\u2013- [et_pb_br_holder] -\u2013><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <pee>This project is developing a mathematical simulation model of the workplace to study the transmission of the COVID-19 virus.<\/pee><\/a>[\/et_pb_code][et_pb_text admin_label=&#8221;Spacing only&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;3.17.6&#8243;]<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_code admin_label=&#8221;Promo Box: Wear-It&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;3.17.6&#8243;]<a href='\/covid19-national-project\/approaches-to-evaluate-environmental-transmission-mechanisms-and-controls\/the-wear-it-study\/'><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><\/p>\n<div class=\"overlay promo_box\"><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <img decoding=\"async\" class=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/sites.manchester.ac.uk\/covid19-national-project\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/276\/2021\/07\/connected-people.jpg\" alt=\"Illustration of interconnected people.\"><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><figcaption class=\"promo_caption\"><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <\/p>\n<h2>The Wear-It Study<\/h2>\n<p><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <\/figcaption><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <\/div>\n<p><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!\u2013- [et_pb_br_holder] -\u2013><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <pee>Using wearable technologies to understand physical interactions in workplaces<\/pee><\/a>[\/et_pb_code][et_pb_text admin_label=&#8221;Spacing only&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;3.17.6&#8243;]<\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_divider _builder_version=&#8221;3.17.6&#8243;]<\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_divider][et_pb_text admin_label=&#8221;Text: All research themes&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;3.17.6&#8243;]<\/p>\n<h3>Other research themes<\/h3>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/sites.manchester.ac.uk\/covid19-national-project\/rapid-investigation-of-outbreaks-and-evidence-synthesis\/\">1. <span style=\"text-decoration: underline\">Outbreak investigations<\/span><\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/sites.manchester.ac.uk\/covid19-national-project\/sector-specific-studies\/\">3. <span style=\"text-decoration: underline\">Sector-specific studies<\/span><\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/sites.manchester.ac.uk\/covid19-national-project\/development-of-tools-to-enhance-national-capability-to-study-respiratory-virus-transmission\/\">4. <span style=\"text-decoration: underline\">Tools and methods<\/span><\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/sites.manchester.ac.uk\/covid19-national-project\/experimental-infections-of-human-and-animals-to-characterise-sars-cov2-transmission\/\">5. <span style=\"text-decoration: underline\">Experimental infection<\/span><\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/sites.manchester.ac.uk\/covid19-national-project\/knowledge-integration-capacity-building-synthesis-and-communication\/\">6. <span style=\"text-decoration: underline\">Knowledge synthesis<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column_inner][\/et_pb_row_inner][et_pb_row_inner admin_label=&#8221;Row&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;3.17.6&#8243;][et_pb_column_inner type=&#8221;4_4&#8243; saved_specialty_column_type=&#8221;2_3&#8243;][et_pb_divider _builder_version=&#8221;3.17.6&#8243;]<\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_divider][\/et_pb_column_inner][\/et_pb_row_inner][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_section][et_pb_section bb_built=&#8221;1&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;3.11.1&#8243; background_color=&#8221;#1d1d1d&#8221; prev_background_color=&#8221;#ffffff&#8221; global_module=&#8221;1519&#8243;][et_pb_row admin_label=&#8221;row&#8221; global_parent=&#8221;1519&#8243; parallax_method_1=&#8221;off&#8221; parallax_method_2=&#8221;off&#8221; parallax_method_3=&#8221;off&#8221; module_id=&#8221;footer-row&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;3.0.89&#8243;][et_pb_column type=&#8221;1_3&#8243;][et_pb_text admin_label=&#8221;Address Title&#8221; global_parent=&#8221;1519&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;3.17.6&#8243; text_text_color=&#8221;#ffffff&#8221; background_size=&#8221;initial&#8221; background_position=&#8221;top_left&#8221; 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[&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":0,"parent":1563,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"on","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-1591","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/sites.manchester.ac.uk\/covid19-national-project\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/1591","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/sites.manchester.ac.uk\/covid19-national-project\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/sites.manchester.ac.uk\/covid19-national-project\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sites.manchester.ac.uk\/covid19-national-project\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/11"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sites.manchester.ac.uk\/covid19-national-project\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1591"}],"version-history":[{"count":34,"href":"https:\/\/sites.manchester.ac.uk\/covid19-national-project\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/1591\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4216,"href":"https:\/\/sites.manchester.ac.uk\/covid19-national-project\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/1591\/revisions\/4216"}],"up":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sites.manchester.ac.uk\/covid19-national-project\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/1563"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/sites.manchester.ac.uk\/covid19-national-project\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1591"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}