Collective Climate Intelligence
(‘Climate-wise’)
a pilot program for urban climate policy via the ‘collective human-artificial intelligence’
The climate adaptation / mitigation transition is urgent … and somehow, technology and material systems have to fit with social, economic, ecological, political and cultural systems. Either we leave such combinations to chance – or – we look to the collective climatic intelligence which can put them together. This in short, is the mutual learning, co-creation and collaboration between a wider community of interest, with deeper layers of value, and further horizons of change and transformation.
So this is an invitation to the Collective-Climate-Intelligence program, starting with:
- Climate-wise: interactive workshop, thurs 19th Feb 11-1300, in person at UoM – register here
This is a unique pilot for new methods of Foresight-CHAI (‘Collective Human-Artificial Intelligence’), and the potential of AI to enhance human synergies and strategic thinking. With this we can better explore cross-cutting challenges and opportunities:
- Climate policy ‘value mapping’ – new value chains at the intersections of adaptation / resilience with mitigation / regenerative economy; (e.g. nature-based currencies);
- Climate policy ‘reality mapping’ – a systematic approach to gaps and barriers, profiteering and hijack, moral hazard, ‘tragedy of commons’ and other dilemmas; (e.g. rising climate scepticism / denial);
- Climate policy ‘pathway mapping’ – enhanced foresight / road-mapping for climate-wise transformation, beyond the normal policy-research scope (e.g. combined social-technical-economic-policy pathways).
This program works in an international collaboration with pilot cases in Manchester / Beijing / Kolkata, each applying the Foresight-CHAI methods to the socio-ecological agenda (Co-futuring with CHAI). This builds on recent projects in the Mind-Lab, including net-zero transitions, circular economy, natural flood management, peri-urban adaptation and ‘collective resilience intelligence’.
RESEARCH SCOPE & AGENDA
The concept of a cross cutting ‘intelligence’ calls not only for ‘more research’ – but also new kinds of research. This can be framed as inter/trans-disciplinary, cognitive / emergent systems, action-oriented and co-produced, focused on systems transformation by collective intelligence … and now with the promise and perils of AI, the frontiers seem to be moving faster…
This Climate-wise program is the latest phase of a long running agenda started in 1994 with the City-Region 2020: the Climate-Wise program from 2015 includes a wide range of projects (with acknowledgment to sponsors):
- Mini-Lab (UK): net-zero & natural capital policy in GM: (UK Research & Innovation): https://tinyurl.com/4j56z2ya
- Low Carbon Qatar: transition road-map for a petro-state (Josoor Qatar Foundation): https://tinyurl.com/46v4cy4f
- Urban climate barrriers & enablers: exploration of the ‘real-world’ net zero: Univ Catalunya: https://tinyurl.com/4jv5ttad
- Circular economy Ukraine: national level foresight for transformation: (UNIDO / EU4Environment): http://www.recpc.org/circular-economy/
- Food systems – policy application of systems thinking: (Natural Resources Wales): https://tinyurl.com/mupmudej
- Peri-cene & PURL (‘peri-urban-rural-linkages’) – global peri-urban / climate project (UK- NERC): FORMAS (Sweden): Dept of Biotechnology (India). http://peri-cene.net
- ‘Fire & Flood’ – risk & resilience in the built environment (Univ. Melbourne): Risk and Resilience
- Planetary urban resilience: international comparison UK-China-USA (Ministry of Science & Technology, China): Eco-wise resilient cities
- Natural flood management India: UK-India policy comparison (British Council) manchester.ac.uk/synergistics/collective-flooding-intelligence/
BACKGROUND
see sections of the Deeper city book
SOME RECENT PUBLICATIONS:
Ran, Jing, Qionghui LI, Joe Ravetz, Tristram C. Hales, Adrian Healy, Zorica Nedovic-Budic, Omar Pȧrez Figueroa, Anna Taylor. Towards Hazard-Resilience Cities: Comparative Research on Resilience-related Policies and Local Practices in Five Cities Worldwide. Landsc. Archit. Front., 2024, 12(1): 26‒46 https://doi.org/10.15302/J-LAF-1-020091
Ravetz, J, (2023): Powering the city at the speed of thought: towards a ‘collective urban-energy intelligence’. In: Marcotullio, P.J, Sperling, J, Sarzynski, A, (Eds) Urban Energy and Climate: Changing Conditions and Future Prospects. World Scientific Publishing Company, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1142/9789811268120_0006
Mohammed S, Cheryl Desha, Ashantha Goonetilleke, Joe Ravetz (2022). Narrative futures of a low carbon transition for hydrocarbon rentier states: Case of Qatar. Futures https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2022.103021
Ravetz, J, Neuvonen, A, Mäntysalo, R, (2020) The New Normative: Synergistic Scenario Planning for Carbon-Neutral Cities and Regions. Regional Studies (special issue on regional futures). https://doi.org/10.1080/00343404.2020.1813881
Ravetz, J, (2020), Deeper City: collective intelligence and the pathways from smart to wise. NY, Routledge: https://doi.org/10.4324/9781315765860 and www.manchester.ac.uk/synergistics/deeper-city-book/