Foresight 3.0 & the ‘collective pandemonic intelligence’

While the COVID-19 pandemic caused death and disruption, it also exposed new levels of social innovation & mutual aid.  To avoid the worst, and make the best of future opportunities, the practice of Foresight is crucial.  And looking beyond ‘problem-fixing’, an emerging Foresight 3.0 model looks towards systems transformation, by growing the collective intelligence which can turn crisis into opportunity (see https://sites.manchester.ac.uk/synergistics/foresight-3-0-theme/ ). 

With this we can map the deeper layers of the pandemic effect (social, technical, economic, ecological, political, cultural, etc): and the wider communities involved (public, private, civic, individual etc).   Then we being to see an emerging Pandemonics 3.0 or ‘collective pandemonic intelligence’ which connects all parts of society.

 

Program & method:

  1. Introductions (10)
  2. Presentation of concepts & methods (15)
  3. Tour of pandemic-related case studies in the Mind-Lab: (15)
  • Social change…
  • Technology change..
  • Economic change..
  • Ecological change..
  • Political change..
  • Urban change..

4. Breakout groups – address key questions on each case study (30)

5. Review & ways forward (20)

 

Methodology:

These are based on the synergistic methods (‘cognitive systems for deeper complexity’), as on https://sites.manchester.ac.uk/synergistics/ and the book https://doi.org/10.4324/9781315765860  (including related methods such as SSM, ANT, PSM, CLA etc).

In each of these case studies we can explore key questions, in each of the templates in the online Mind-Lab, which show graphically – change leading toward crisis (on the left) – versus –  change leading towards transformation (on the right)…

  • Who is involved & in what kind of social structure?
  • What is their agenda, worldview, value system?
  • Which forces of change are most significant?
  • Which pathways can find a way, from crisis to opportunity & transformation??

 

This workshop is part of the Foresight 3.0 program, with sponsorship from HSE Moscow.

It is located at the Operational Research 2021 Conference, alongside other developments in systems theory and practice.

For more see https://www.theorsociety.com/events/annual-conference/or63-making-an-impact/

Workspace – Mural Collaboratorium

Time: Sept 15th 0930-1100 BST