Resilience 3.0
surviving & thriving in 2, 3, 4, 5 degrees
As the world approaches climate chaos – extreme heat, storm, flood, drought, landslides, pests and pandemics – the collective RESILIENCE has never been so topical. We also know that the simple resilience – bouncing back to the system of exploitation and inequality which produces the problem – is not a real answer. So we look for systemic and transformative resilience – not just bouncing back but ‘forward’… So is this a resilience of individuals, or a resilience of cities and regions, or of whole systems such as capitalism? and would that mean a transformation in how all parts of society learn, think ahead, innovate and collaborate – i.e. a bigger picture, a ‘collective resilience intelligence’?? This program aims to explore via systematic mapping & design…
2025 Forum
Towards a Resilience 3.0 in turbulent times:
10th July 2025, 12-1400: lunch from 1130: Location: UoM Humanities Bridgford St – Hanson Room: online link, see email
(Hosted by the Environmental Policy & Place research group of PPEM: Future-wise program of Manchester Urban Institute)
This forum explores the realities & potentials of urban resilience – complex inter-connected systems, dangerous feedbacks / tipping points, and ‘collective resilience intelligence’ as the key to forward pathways. Bringing together a range of ideas & applications, we explore the bigger picture and extend the 2015 ‘City Resilience Framework’ with mapping of examples in progress.
In context, the urban resilience agenda seems more dangerous every day…
- ‘Urban whiplash’ of extreme heat/fire & storm/flood – https://washmatters.wateraid.org/publications/rising-risks-urban-populations-water-climate-change;
- the 1.5 degree ‘aspiration’ is obsolete – https://climate.copernicus.eu/global-climate-highlights
- ‘New world disorder’ of populist anti-science, anti-migrant & anti-resilience….
in response we can aim to explore the underlying systems and dynamics –
- Cities are hubs of inter-connections: e.g. ‘peri-urban resilience’ is connected to rural farming and/or urban greening, upstream and/or downstream.
- and then, socio-economic-political agendas: e.g. protection of flood-plains may cause housing supply problems…
- and then, ‘big bad world’ effects: e.g. peri-urban adaptation can be an open door (for some) to make money, grab land, exclude migrants etc…
- and then, tipping points emerge such as populist anti-science, anti-migrant & anti-resilience….
in response… real pathways for urban resilience go way beyond a ‘problem-fix’ – they involve a wider community of interest, with deeper layers of value, and further inter-connections of cause & effect – i.e. the components of a ‘collective resilience intelligence’ or Resilience 3.0… This Resilience Forum gathers a range of methods and case studies , so far including:
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Jorge Inzulza Contardo – seismic resilience
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Richard Kirkham – systems resilience
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Angela Connelly – ‘contingent resilience’
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Paul O Hare – social justice resilience
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(David Schultz – disaster resilience tbc)
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Joe Ravetz – ‘collective resilience intelligence’
We aim towards a bigger picture of ‘real world resilience’: how to extend the ‘City Resilience Framework’ 2024 : and how to work with case study policy-research in this bigger context. Materials include –
- slides by Jorge Inzulza Contardo
- slide by Joe Ravetz
- working paper on the framework – Mind-Lab WP – Resilience 3.0
- Resilience 3.0 – extract – Deeper City – 9-3 – Resilience-III
- Jing Ran et al (2024) Towards Hazard-Resilience Cities: Comparative Research on Resilience-related Policies and Local Practices in Five Cities Worldwide. Landsc. Archit. Front., 12(1): 26‒46 https://doi.org/10.15302/J-LAF-1-020091
Also see –
‘how to survive the 21st century’: – from the China-UK project on International resilient cities with Hunan University and UN Habitat, we bring new methods of risk / resilience analysis, to look beyond the city limits at whole urban / peri / rural systems.
Also see the related Adaptation Forum 2022:
On a parallel track we explored some fundamentals on research in the ‘real world’ – how to understand ‘adaptation’ which is entangled with inequality, corruption, livelihood, etc.
With these practical examples we aim to explore pathways, from the current crises, towards potential opportunity – i.e. a workable Adaptation 3.0. The panel included:
- Joe Ravetz (host): towards a ‘collective resilience intelligence’ – quick tour of the Mind Lab & experimental zone in progress;
- Sarah Webb, Natural Environment Research Council: research for ‘real world’ complexity & the Adaptation Research Alliance;
- Lakshmi Rajendra, UCL: challenges of urban sprawl in the global South, marginalised communities, environment & health.
- Angela Connelly, Manchester School of Architecture: creative-experiential co-design for new forms of resilience.
- Grace Githiri, UN Habitat: urban-rural linkages and the new agenda for territorial intelligence.
Resilience 3.0 folder: slides & materials