Theme 2: Transmission modelling
Theme 2 is applying a range of cutting-edge modelling and experimental approaches to address the key research questions of the PROTECT study on how the physical environment and human behaviour affect transmission of the COVID-19 virus, how best to control it, and what it really means to be ‘COVID secure’.
The mathematical models being developed simulate, at one end of the scale, how microscopic virus particles physically move and spread, and at the other, how much transmission and infection is likely to occur in different buildings, workplaces, and localities, with and without different control measures.
In order to make these calculations, the models draw on data from experiments on how the virus is emitted, survives, and is transmitted – via surfaces, person-to person and in the air – as well as studies of how buildings work and the way people behave and interact within them. This data is collected within Theme 2 itself, as well as being fed in from the other PROTECT research themes.
Theme team
Theme lead: Professor Cath Noakes, University of Leeds
Other partners:
- Health and Safety Executive
- UK Health Security Agency
- Defence Science and Technology Laboratory
- Institute of Occupational Medicine
- Imperial College London
- University of Manchester
- University of Leicester
- University of Cambridge
- University of Strathclyde
Theme 2 projects
Find out more about individual research projects taking place within the transmission modelling theme.
Sign up for research updates
Receive quarterly email updates from the PROTECT study on how the COVID-19 virus transmits in different environments, and the most effective measures to control it.
Updates will include new evidence statements, briefings, journal papers, event invites and more, aimed at policymakers, businesses, public health and health and safety professionals, and researchers.
Contact Us
Email: PROTECT@hse.gov.uk
Health & Safety Executive – Science Division
Harpur Hill
Buxton
SK17 9JN
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